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Cake day: November 10th, 2025

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  • The US president and his ally in the Kremlin want to use 100bn euros* of Russia’s frozen assets to be invested in a venture to rebuild Ukraine, while 50% of the venture’s profit would go to the US (according to point 14 of Trump’s initial ‘peace plan’ for Ukraine).

    *Additional information: Total frozen assets of Russia that will eventually be used as collateral for the EU preparation loan amount to 140bn euros.

    Second addition: In addition to the EU, UK and Canada are also working on a scheme to hand frozen Russian assets to Ukraine.















  • Ukraine was facing a population decline already before 2022, and the war made the situation worse. But Ukraine is by far not alone with the problem of a shrinking population as almost the entire world will face it in the next decades. Only a few countries in Central Asia and Africa are exempted. The decline is especially pronounced in China, where the population will decline by a factor of 2.2 in this century reaching ~600 million, down form the current 1.4 billion) as well as in the U.S., and Russia, where fertility rates have fallen below the population replacement level.








  • Putin is desperate as he’s struggling to find trade partners. India used to be the biggest buyer of Russian crude oil but has been decreasing its volume significantly this year - and the downward trend goes on (with even China, Russia biggest ‘ally,’ significantly reducing its Russian oil imports as the trade data reveals).

    There is not only the ‘U.S. factor’ of sanctions as the elephant in the room. Australia, Canada, the EU, and many others are in the process of negotiating new trade agreements with India. If Mr. Modri chooses to go with Putin’s Russia, he knows that he will have a tough stand with these Western partners. And this isn’t worth the price.


  • I am not a legal expert, but I guess if one files a lawsuit against you then you’ll have to at least defend yourself, at least in Western democracies. So as a legal layman I would say simply ignoring might not be an option.

    Experts now apparently have found a legal way to use Russian asset as collateral for this reparation loan.

    A quick reminder that Russia has already seized (seized, not frozen!) Western assets within Russia of around 50 billion euros. The Kremlin introduced ‘rules’ that allowed it to confiscate assets of what it called ‘unfriendly countries’ as early as 2023. Among the affected Western companies whose assets were seized are Carlsberg and Danone, based in Denmark and France respectively. Both companies were ‘punished’ - according to the Kremlin - for halting their business in Russia.



  • Justice and accountability are not tokens for negotiation, say survivors in Ukraine

    At the international conference hosted by Preventing Sexual Violence in Conflict Initiative (PSVI) in Kyiv on 26 November, survivors presented their Call to Action. These demands include:

    • No amnesty for war crimes
    • The immediate release of all those still in Russian captivity
    • The inclusion of survivors of violations committed since 2014 in the Registry of Damages. Survivors also stress that the process for applying for compensation need to be flexible, accessible and survivor-centred
    • The effective and prompt implementation of Law 4067 (Bardina Law)

    The Bardina Law gives survivors of conflict-related sexual violence the right to urgent interim reparation. The law came to force in June 2025 but is yet to be implemented. The pilot project on Urgent Interim Reparations for conflict-related sexual violence survivors proves that the registration process can be inclusive, transparent, credible and survivor-centred.

    And don’t forget that one in 10 rescued Ukrainian children sexually abused in the occupied territories.

    It is important to note that Putin’s Russia broke some 400 agreements in the recent decade or so, that’s basically every he signed.