The Russian dictator Vladimir Putin will surely be held accountable by the International Criminal Tribunal, aoording to Errol Mendes, professor of law at the University of Ottawa, Canada.
“One should look at what happened to Milosevic to understand what fate awaits Putin in the end. He believes he is invulnerable and out of reach. He is convinced that he will never be held to account. Milosevic thought the same,” says Mendes.
…
According to the expert, Milosevic’s accountability became possible thanks to the West’s unwavering stance on punishing serious crimes.
“This may take 10, 20 years or even longer, but Ukraine and its allies need to start implementing the same strategy that allowed Milosevic to be brought before the International Criminal Tribunal. I am convinced Putin will end up there as well.”
…
Putin doesn’t have economic support of anyone. They trade with him opportunistically, and China prefers having stabily weak Russia to exploit, but not enough to treaten the European market. They will throw him under the bus the second there is an incentive, and will probably benefit from it
China needs Russia as an ally against the US. They have had a $1 trillion trade surplus. I fear that they will throw Europe under the bus and we are very unprepared.
Russia is a shit ally, both because they can’t be trusted, but more importantly because they’re poor fuckups. Their market is comparatively small, and the only thing Russua exports besides people is natural resources, mainly oil, which is less and less important nowadays.
Nobody needs Russia to do anything other than fuck off.
For China they shield large parts of their border from American influence.
This shit doesn’t mean anything. America doesn’t have physical border with Russia, unless you count Bering strait (and you need to be unhinged beyound believe to do so). So the only way that can make any semblance of logic is if you think in Soviet geopolitical terms of Communist World and Capitalist World, and you didn’t update it since 1970th.
Nato could use it as a staging ground for a land invasion, like Iraq’s neighbors have been used. The way it is now, that’s impossible.
It’s fucking videogame logic. Anyone who thinks that the only thing stopping angry americans from invading China is that they didn’t put enough tanks in fucking Биробиджан is not just delusional, not just didn’t think about it for a second, not just didn’t look at a map even once, but done all of that deliberately, you can’t exist in the world and be able to read, and arrive to this conclusion organically.
Russian government works tirelessly on inflating their importance in the world, and every time it is tested it fails spectacularly, and yet the internet is full of people who is doing nothing but glazing their asses.
Russia is aggressive and dangerous to their neighbours, sure, the way meth den in a rough neighborhood is dangerous, but nobody would call it influential.
Then please help me think, why would Russia be irrelevant for an invasion of China?
As I said before, because they aren’t powerful enough to be relevant. Even if we imagine this pretty unlikely scenario that US for some reason is waging proper hot war with China - and I can’t envision it for real, but let’s entertain it for a second - Russia isn’t doing shit in that scenario. Their military power (or lack thereof) pretty clearly demonstrated in a current 3 day war they stuck in for the last 4 years, their economic power is demonstrated by everything else they did for the last 30 years, and even the land bordering China is so shitty, so remote, so isolated, and so empty, it will not be helpful to do anything about it. If US will want to move some troops or tanks there, it will be cheaper and quicker for them to walk across the ocean’s floor than cross the whole Europe and then across the length of Russia.
Mongolia is more relevant in this scenario, and that’s not a sentence anyone said for the last 500 years.
That’s all trade. Trade supports countries economically.
That’s capitalism.
How about get Russia out of Ukraine before declaring victory with plans to arrest Putin?
That’s not necessarily has to be done in that order. If Putin is removed from power, Russia will be way less enthusiastic about continuing the war, and they can even fuck off on their own
A EU ruling does absolutely nothing to remove Putin from power.
The EU has already ruled that Putin’s actions were illegal in 2022. Russia needs to be defeated.