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Cake day: June 24th, 2025

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  • From 1990 to 2014, Ukraine was a bufferzone/Russian puppet. After 2014, it became a US puppet.

    Russia assumed:

    1. they could restore the previous status quo in about 2 weeks, by driving directly to Kiev, in a straight line (lmao)

    2. An EU-alligned Ukraine would eventually join NATO, putting hostile troops like 100 miles from Moscow.

    The calculus will look very different after

    1. the war showed their military and economy are still weaker than they were in 1990

    2. There is not a hostile state about to be backed by NATO right on their border.