The average tax income from billionaires in california looks to be around 10million a year. So combined the about 200 billionaires in california are paying 2 billion a year. Rough numbers would be that is 150 of them left then the one time tax would start being a negative income in 10 years. That assumes money stays flat.
Honestly there is no way that this ends up being a serious net negative and these folks are still operating in California enough that they may fail to avoid residency review.
Estimates seem to vary but I’ve found a good few at 3 billion total from the wealthiest 200 Californians.
Also, given the article noted that:
Departing billionaires slashed projected one-time revenue from $100 billion to $40 billion, with Page and Brin’s exits alone costing California $26.7 billion.
That implies the current tax revenue from billionaires would drop 60 or so percent. So, presumably tax revenue drops from 3 to 1.2 billion, just based on current flights (and ignoring knock on effects.)
So, no one else leaves and we don’t count knock on effects, I’d guess it’d take ~ 21 or so years before this starts cutting. But, of course, knock on effects (folks decamp to say, Texas which seems to be snagging as many once Californian businesses as possible…) It’s going to be a very interesting, depressing experiment. (Really feels like a race to the bottom but that’s the America we know and,uhhh, love?)
avg income tax from billlionaires 10 m a year ONLY thats so absurdly low
and 200 billionaires paying 2 b a year is like 1% of their billions? holy fuk we need to increase the taxes.
Didn’t know all 3 had or planned to move.
I wonder how many would have to move before the tax actually becomes revenue negative (compared to not being implemented.)
I’m sure they didn’t actually move. They just bought a house in another state and declared it as their primary residence.
Could be the only good use for flock. We now can show they’ve been in the state the whole time.
The average tax income from billionaires in california looks to be around 10million a year. So combined the about 200 billionaires in california are paying 2 billion a year. Rough numbers would be that is 150 of them left then the one time tax would start being a negative income in 10 years. That assumes money stays flat.
Honestly there is no way that this ends up being a serious net negative and these folks are still operating in California enough that they may fail to avoid residency review.
Estimates seem to vary but I’ve found a good few at 3 billion total from the wealthiest 200 Californians.
Also, given the article noted that:
That implies the current tax revenue from billionaires would drop 60 or so percent. So, presumably tax revenue drops from 3 to 1.2 billion, just based on current flights (and ignoring knock on effects.)
So, no one else leaves and we don’t count knock on effects, I’d guess it’d take ~ 21 or so years before this starts cutting. But, of course, knock on effects (folks decamp to say, Texas which seems to be snagging as many once Californian businesses as possible…) It’s going to be a very interesting, depressing experiment. (Really feels like a race to the bottom but that’s the America we know and,uhhh, love?)
avg income tax from billlionaires 10 m a year ONLY thats so absurdly low and 200 billionaires paying 2 b a year is like 1% of their billions? holy fuk we need to increase the taxes.