• dubak@feddit.org
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    3 days ago

    Unsure,what is crappy or unsound corpo bullshit because the economic models used by EU to allocate resources and to drive fiscal decisions are even less complex than those proposed by the scientific community, because they ignore climate change.

    Rule of thumb: direct investments from government have a multiplier ratio roughly between 1 & 5 depending on the economic situation.

    EU Commisions economic models currently assume that every Euro of investment generates just 0.6 Euro of economic activity. Renewable energy projects are the only investments with coefficients above 1. Source

    • Left as Center@jlai.lu
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      3 days ago

      So .6 generated make a multiplier of 1.6 for the economy. (1 initial + .6 generated). Which is pretty much the norm in a standard economy.

      And your source which is reliable (links to proper studies) gives a multiplier of 2.6 which is totally off from the multiplier of 7 mentioned in OP link.

      Edit: thank for your link, I’d have ballparked 2 rather than 2.6.

      • dubak@feddit.org
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        3 days ago

        .6 is a multiplier. It’s a loss of 40 cent per Euro.

        There are numerous studies assessing the return on investment, but I wouldn’t say that some are more correct. They are working with different assumptions regarding the environmental costs, which can lead to huge differences in the cofficient estimates. Currently, the goal is to convince EU commission to include the environmental costs in their economic models. The precise math isn’t that important, it’s the step towards better models that matters. The study by Trinomics is part of this effort and shouldnt be discarded, even though it comes from industry and though it claims large multipliers.

        • Left as Center@jlai.lu
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          3 days ago

          1.2-1.7, for Europe based on observation (IMF), which consistent with theory.

          0.6ow values are when you give money to people who hoard it (e.g. tax cuts).

          Just means that the EU uses a shit factor for deciding policies based on money going mostly to tax cuts or something else with policymaking.

          The precise math isn’t that important,

          I disagree, giving the public wrong estimates of what is going on is too much of a sports for the media .