I somehow doubt this, but interesting read nonetheless
Heres a summary of the predictions made, from never all the way up to within the year. It seems to me the closer you get to the dollar bill the sooner the projections become.
“Some experts predict it will never happen…”
“Some experts argue that human intelligence is more multifaceted than what the current definition of AGI describes.” (That AGI is not possible.)
“Most agree that AGI will arrive before the end of the 21st century.”
“Some researchers who’ve studied the emergence of machine intelligence think that the singularity could occur within decades.”
Current surveys of AI researchers are predicting AGI around 2040"
“Entrepreneurs are even more bullish, predicting it around ~2030”
“The CEO of Anthropic, who thinks we’re right on the threshold—give it about 12 more months or so.”
Predictions across the field range from a few months to a few decades
lol worthless.
Another classic case of someone just sharing an article and then getting bombed with down votes.
@[email protected] I am sorry. Here is my upvote. Have a good day.
Humanity won’t be able to finish a lego build in the next 12 months.
I tried search the web for a particular comic - I think it might have been smbc - where the person’s prediction of when the singularity was inversely proportional to how long they had to live, but I can’t find it.
The last panel was an old guy saying “The singularity will arrive by Friday! Hopefully before 5…”
Ok cool
Yawn. Ok buddy scientist.
Well, the guy who is probably most famous for popularizing the term had predicted the (technological) singularity around 2045.
So, maybe?
He also predicted AGI by 2029.
From 2017 https://futurism.com/kurzweil-claims-that-the-singularity-will-happen-by-2045
More recent
I will happily bet any amount of money and possessions at any ratio to any “expert” that we won’t.
My entire life earnings, every possession I own, times 100, at a 1000:1 ratio. Please, “experts” bet me, I would love to go all in on this prediction.
You’re leaving money on the table if you don’t leverage your bet first by taking out loans to bet more.
Scientist say it’s possible, yet let’s see Lemmy users deny this possibility.
I canceled my Popular Mechanics subscription 20 years ago because of all the improbable headlines like this. They keep doing it.
